10 non-obvious Mobility Predictions for 2012 -
1. Amazon Phone .. With No cellular voice calls. I predict the Amazon will enter the smartphone space. Not buying RIM was widespread and not just another supported device carrier. I think Amazon will come with a low-cost device that does VoIP on data only cellular call without significantly lowering the monthly cost of a smartphone. The carrier disruptive service will probably provided by LightSquared or Clearwire, more Amazon can still complete the cost based on sales of services and goods expected.
2. 7 "Tablets Beat 10" Tablets - tab and fire have already proven that there is a market for a smaller tablet that fits in jackets , lab coats and wallets. When Apple joins a 7-inch iPad I predict they can sell the existing 10-inch standard.
3. Touch Gestures Less - The iPhone and iPad got everyone used to hit their device (even the standard displays that do nothing in return ...) In 2012 new techniques based on hand gestures and camera cameras will start to appear in some smartphones and tablets. we may be starting to shake our old monitors soon and wait for something to happen.
4. Siri will work - The iPhone 4S did a great job introducing the power of the voice input for the masses, although for most Siri was used for simple tasks like reminders, texts and alarms. In 2012 Siri and other voice applications will be trained to work in multiple work applications beyond the existing specialized vertical markets such as health care. The explosion will happen when Apple opens up Siri to developers .. look for WWDC announcements.
5. Go NirvanaPhones Pervasive - I predict this for a long time .. but 2012 will be the year that the highest end smartphones provide a video output resolution allowing connection screens and full size keyboards. This along with an application such as Citrix Receiver access virtual desktops or remotely qualify them as a true NirvanaPhone. A new standard called MHL that combines video and USB connector into a USB Micro will help normalize the issues surrounding proprietary platforms. (Like what hindered the ATRIX in 2011) Some will say that the increase in popularity of tablets will NirvanaPhones and less convincing to some extent, that is true given the added mobility and availability of tablets. Although even when using the plug on the big screens and keyboards will also be some tablets qualify as a "Device Nirvana".
iOS 6. Kills flash .. On the desktop - In 2012, if your site relies on your flash losing traffic and important business. iOS and the iPad will be part of the standard test for compatibility matrix, as well as testing several browsers. The popularity of iOS and the people it represents is too important to be ignored. This in turn will accelerate the adoption of HTML5 as a Flash alternative.
7. BYOD Exceeds Corporate Mobile Devices - 2012 will be the year that "Bring Your Own Device" numbers of traditional society provided the traction device user, pressure benefits. and executive costs will force most companies to support or at least allow BYOD. the key for IT is to support this effort in a safe manner, without exposing the company to significant security risks.
8. Massive security breach - This will be the year of a major violation of mobile security, probably on the Android platform It has been predicted before, but up. now most of the questions were more hype with limited impact. I think 2012 will see a significant incident that reminds organizations risk unmanaged IT data and applications on mobile phones.
9. Windows phone Share gains ... and Respect - Microsoft knows how mobility is and will not give up at any price. The agreement with Nokia will start paying OEMs and fears of the acquisition and the patent protection Motorola -Google will drive more OEMs to offer Windows Phone 7 devices. I think WP7 and BlackBerry to fight for 3rd place.
10. Health Monitors - The FitBit and Jawbone Up provided a foretaste of the compatible mobile device health monitors for early adopters. 2012 will see an explosion of applications and health systems related to the conduct of this category to go mainstream. This type of application will also be further pressure for BYOD vs devices belonging to the company.
What do you think predicting?
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